T/CES 138-2022 Active Group standards

T/CES 138-2022 Wind power probability forecasting technical requirements

Publish Date: 2022-09-26 Implement Date: 2022-09-28 For services related to genuine standard inquiry, procurement, translation, and other related services in China, please Contact Us

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Basic Information

Standard Code: T/CES 138-2022

Standard Type: Group standards

Standard Status: Active

is_force_gb: no

CCS Name: -

ICS Name: Wind power generation systems and other energy sources

Publish Date: 2022-09-26

Implement Date: 2022-09-28

Scope

Scope: This document specifies the technical requirements for basic data, prediction models, data reporting, and prediction evaluation related to wind power probability forecasting. This document is applicable to wind power stations, dispatching organizations at all levels, and prediction system development service providers conducting wind power probability forecasting work or services. Main technical content: Wind power generation is highly random and volatile. Driven by the "carbon reduction and carbon neutrality targets," the large-scale integration of wind power into the power system has posed severe challenges to the safe and economical operation of the power system. Solving the problems of wind power integration, consumption, and power supply has placed more stringent demands on wind power forecasting. Traditional deterministic forecasting only provides single-value power forecasting results, which is difficult to meet the diverse needs of dispatching operators. Wind power probability forecasting can provide a power prediction interval with a certain confidence level, effectively measure the distribution range of power forecasting errors, provide dispatching operators with more valuable reference information, strongly support the power balance and operation optimization of the power system, and promote the high-quality development of the wind power industry. However, existing standards are mainly aimed at deterministic wind power forecasting. It is necessary to consider the characteristics of wind power probability forecasting when formulating this standard. This document focuses on the technical requirements for wind power probability forecasting, clarifying the technical requirements for basic data, prediction models, data reporting, and prediction evaluation that wind power stations, dispatching organizations at all levels, and prediction system development service providers need to meet when conducting wind power probability forecasting work or servic